Gude Reports is back and the focus is on Canada.
I launched Gude Reports nine years ago on the eve of President Trump's first election to analyze geopolitics and economics using history. My first report anticipated that 2016 would be a historic realignment election with far-reaching consequences. Yet I failed to foresee how consequential that election would be for our country.
Nearly a decade later, Trump remains a significant force and Canada is in his sights. The 45th/47th President is reshaping the global order before our eyes, including on the home continent, and Canadians need to respond.
As a proud Canadian, I am appalled by Trump’s trolling of Canada to become the 51st State. I am equally alarmed about his aims to upend North American Free Trade with punishing tariffs on our national economy.
But, as a student of history, economics and geopolitics, I am not surprised. Trump is acting in what he believes to be his nation’s interest. Canada needs to do the same.
We live in dangerous times. Canada faces grave threats to its security, society and sovereignty from a host of fronts, and they concern me much more than Trump.
Principal among these threats are the growing influence of autocratic regimes in the New Axis Powers (China, Russia, Iran and North Korea) and internal divisions within our own country, stemming from years of identity politics and a stagnating economy.
I have borne witness to these issues from the sidelines for too long. Our national crisis today is existential: Will Canada, the nation we love, cease to exist as we know it?
The stakes are incredibly high.
Canada must rediscover its narrative, unite around its founding principles, strengthen its economy, and invest in its military. Doing so will help stave off collapse, because we are entering a world where might is right, whether we like it or not.
Weak countries do not last long in an era of Great Power Politics. And Canada is vulnerable, very vulnerable. The U.S. and the rest of the world know it, too.
Canada has become a joke internationally. This is apparent to any Canadian who travels or lives abroad, which I have done extensively (including working and studying in the U.S., U.K., China, Turkey, and Colombia over the past 15 years).
Yet it was not always so. Not that long ago, our nation was the envy of the world.
Canada can become a global beacon once again.
We have all the ingredients: an educated, industrious, and hard-working populace, abundant natural resources, and a proud history from which to draw inspiration.
Preserving what we have inherited - the world’s fourth-oldest democracy and second-largest national landmass - is the great task of our times. Do we have what it takes?
I believe we do. But only if we confront the brutal facts and don’t lose faith.
Join me on this journey as we seek to reclaim Canada’s place in the world.
Sapere Aude: Dare to Know
Great introductory article, Spencer. Happy to be joining you on this journey and looking forward your next report!